Georgia 10 has a must read piece at Daily Kos that describes how it is done. Republicans have always concentrated on suppressing votes (causing long voter lines is also a classic technique), not on doing the virtually impossible - cheating on the vote count.

Some well meaning folks want to follow the red herring - crying "fraud!" in the vote count. The problem is not in the vote count - it is in denying the vote. Keeping eyes on the ball of voter suppression is the real battle for clean and fair elections - not silly Diebold conspiracy theories.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

Barack Obama maintains a significant lead over John McCain in the latest WaPo poll:

The new survey shows Obama leading McCain by 53 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, little changed from a separate Post-ABC News poll released last Monday. Among all registered voters, Obama's lead is 10 percentage points, 52 percent to 42 percent.

Still Obama's election.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

Good thing people are not paying much attention to Joe Biden. What a stupid thing he said yesterday:

Mark my words," the Democratic vice presidential nominee warned at the second of his two Seattle fundraisers Sunday. "It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy. The world is looking. We're about to elect a brilliant 47-year-old senator president of the United States of America. Remember I said it standing here if you don't remember anything else I said. Watch, we're gonna have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy."

WTF? Did Biden take his extra stupid pills yesterday? Sheesh.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

As Gov. Sarah Palin makes the round of Republican strongholds in Colorado today, the Aspen Daily News issues its endorsement of Barack Obama. On John McCain, the paper says:

McCain's own behavior has been cause for concern. He has clearly abandoned the 'maverick' platform that made him popular in 2000, and has shamelessly catered to the religious right, which has its party in a headlock.

It's hard to say what McCain's true colors are, but they were clearly evident in his selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate. While it was a tactical success in energizing the Republican Party, it was a reckless move that would put our country in danger should she ever become commander-in-chief. Not only is she inexperienced and unworldly, Palin just doesn't seem that bright. She dodges too many questions and fumbles too many answers to lead the free world.

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In addition to the national polls cited here by Big Tent Democrat, there's a Suffolk Ohio and Missouri poll out today.

Barack Obama leads John McCain by 9 in Ohio and McCain's ahead by 1 in Missouri.

I think Ohio is critical. If McCain loses there, I think he loses the election.

"If Ohio goes for Obama, it may be lights out for McCain,” said David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University in Boston. "At least today, the probability of an Ohio win is supported by the high-single-digit lead in the statewide poll coupled with the Perry County bellwether, which showed Obama leading by 4 percent.”

Joe the Plumber didn't help McCain in Ohio, his home state.

I give Gallup major props - they keep giving the RV totals with their LV models in their polling results. Their latest polling shows Obama leading among registered voters by 11 and by 9 among likely voters (expanded model). DKos/R2000 has Obama up 8, 50-42 among LVs (no RV number made available.) Hotline, IBD/TIPP and CNN have Obama by 5. Ras has Obama by 4 as does Battleground. All of these are LV numbers.

Still Obama's election.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

Yesterday, I wrote about Jon Meacham's article about our Center Right country. In particular, I scoffed at Meacham's suggestion that FDR's Presidency provided an example of his thesis - that somehow FDR failed to win the ideological battle for Progressivism. Such talk is generally centered on FDR's failure to win primary battles in his own party in 1938. But it seems incredibly wrongheaded to me to judge FDR solely on that basis.

It would be ignoring everything that came before - when FDR revolutionized national government. Similarly, Matt Yglesias underestimates the power of the Presidency:

There’s a tendency to attribute FDR’s and LBJ’s achievements to something inherent to their character or their approach to governing, but the truth is simply that in 1933-34 and 1965-66 you had a lot of liberals in congress so a lot of liberal legislation passed.

This is simply not correct in my view. FDR had a lot of DEMOCRATS in his Congress, but they were not particularly liberal, even for the time. What there was was this new FDR creation, and in some ways, a very bad one, an Imperial Presidency:

Rolling Stone has released an investigative report on Republican vote stealing in the 2004 election by Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and Greg Palast. It's findings:

Republicans prevented more than 350,000 voters in Ohio from casting ballots or having their votes counted - enough to have put John Kerry in the White House.

How it happened and what it meant:

“The new registrations thrown out, the existing registrations scrubbed, the spoiled ballots, the provisional ballots that were never counted - and what you have is millions of voters, more than enough to swing the presidential election, quietly being detached from the electorate by subterfuge.

[More...]

ABC News reports a new Washington Post/ABC poll shows:

Likely voters overwhelmingly reject his effort to make an issue of Barack Obama's association with 1960s radical William Ayers. Fallout continues from McCain's pick of Sarah Palin for vice president, with 52 percent saying it weakens their confidence in his judgment. And on optimism, it's Obama by 2-1

60 percent say Obama's relationship with Ayers is not a legitimate issue in the presidential campaign; 37 percent say it is.

On Palin, [More...]

Sen. Barack Obama will concentrate on states that voted for George W. Bush in 2004. His schedule:

He and his aides appear so confident of his prospects that apart from a brief stop in Madison, Wis., next Thursday, Obama currently has no plans during the next 10 days to return to Pennsylvania, Minnesota, New Hampshire or any other state that voted for John Kerry in 2004.

Instead, he intends to spend two days this week in Florida, where early voting begins on Monday, and travel to Virginia, Iowa, Ohio, Colorado, New Mexico and possibly Nevada and Indiana. Those states hold 97 electoral votes combined, and Bush all in 2004.

Obama strategist David Axlerod says:

"I don't want to say he won't go to a Blue State, but we're certainly concentrating on expanding the map."

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Jon Meacham, the Editor of Newsweek, is catching hell from Left blogs for his typically obtuse nonsense. Meacham writes that "the nation is essentially "center-Right."

I think the reaction to Meacham is misguided. Meacham is a fool and will write foolish things. The key is the lesson of FDR:

[T]hat is FDR's lesson for Obama. Politics is not a battle for the middle. It is a battle for defining the terms of the political debate. It is a battle to be able to say what is the middle.

Consider Meacham's description of the New Deal:

Rep. Michele Bachmann, furthering the McCain campaign's attack on Barack Obama's patriotism, told Chris Matthews on Friday that she is "concerned that [Obama] may have anti-American views." Matthews asked Bachmann if Obama stood alone among elected representatives who harbor an anti-American agenda.

"What I would say - what I would say is that the news media should do a penetrating exposé and take a look. I wish they would. I wish the American media would take a great look at the views of the people in Congress and find out, are they pro-America or anti-America? I think people would love to see an exposé like that."

What a great idea. Some intrepid reporter should be going door to door in the congressional office buildings with a survey. "How do you feel about America? For it or against?" Maybe elected representatives could be asked to sign a loyalty oath. Michael Tomasky explains why the reporter's first visit should be to Bachman's office: [more ...]